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New Indicator for Your Toolbox

by admin March 1, 2025
March 1, 2025
New Indicator for Your Toolbox

As part of our regular market review in the DP Alert, we have begun to notice a very good indicator to determine market weakness and strength. It may not be new to all of you, but we’ve found as of late that this indicator tells a story.

We have been tracking the relative strength of the SPY to equally-weighted RSP. When the relative strength line is rising, it means that mega-cap stocks are leading the market. When the relative strength line is falling, mega-cap stocks are taking a back seat.

The chart below shows you what happens when the mega-caps start to slide against RSP. The market itself usually travels lower (as does equal-weight RSP). It doesn’t happen every time, but it happens enough that we should be checking this chart regularly. If you are an Extra member or above with StockCharts.com, you can click on this chart and save it to your own ChartList for monitoring.

Currently, mega-caps are underperforming RSP, which has spelled trouble for the market. It did tip upward Friday, but ultimately the relative strength line is in a declining trend. We’ll want to watch for a move out of that.

Conclusion: Cap-weighting has made it important to monitor how the SPY is performing in relation to equal-weight RSP. A declining relative strength line is bad for the market as a whole, and that is what we are currently seeing.


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Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

DecisionPoint is not a registered investment advisor. Investment and trading decisions are solely your responsibility. DecisionPoint newsletters, blogs or website materials should NOT be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to take any specific action.


Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)

ITBM and ITVM

SCTR Ranking

Bear Market Rules


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